So the trick is to find a True RSI degree that value bounces off. As an alternative of 70, this may very well be 60. As an alternative of 30, this may very well be 40. That’s the True RSI of the market. How does this seem like? Right here’s a screenshot of how our particular True RSI Indicator works to find out key ranges the place value bounces off.
As you’ll be able to see within the picture, the TFA True RSI indicator has scanned for five main swing lows that bounced actually properly (we will regulate the sensitivity and the way strict these large swing lows are). So up to now 5 occasions value bounced properly – it coincided with RSI being at 32-36% 4 out of 5 occasions (4 orange packing containers present how properly it bounced, 1 pink field to point out that it didn’t bounce).
So what does this inform us? It implies that there’s an 80% probability roughly that when RSI reaches the 32-36% degree, there will likely be a bounce in value. With this technique by itself, we have already got an edge over the market to commerce and become profitable (actually? sure!). However when you want to actually enhance your buying and selling profitability, you’ll be able to add in primary help and resistance and even Fibonacci to this.
Over years of testing, we narrowed down probably the most profitable RSI intervals to those 5 values:
- 13
- 21
- 34
- 55
- 89
What we’ve completed is to permit as much as 5 RSI values to be examined directly within the indicator. This may enable the TFA True RSI Indicator to scan for bounces throughout a number of RSI interval values and the desk will present you if there are hidden True RSI ranges on the chart.
As you’ll be able to see within the above image, we’re scanning throughout 5 RSI settings (13,21,34,55,89) and our True RSI indicator will present us which space has legitimate hidden RSI space ranges.
Right here’s a proof of the varied settings:
- Settings:
That is the varied RSI settings we’re testing (as much as 5 at a time) - View:
Clicking on this may load the RSI together with the hidden space. We often click on “View” provided that there’s a legitimate hidden RSI space. - H legitimate:
Excessive legitimate that means there’s a hidden RSI Swing Excessive resistance space (once we’re taking part in drops as a substitute of bounces). - H Vary:
Reveals the hidden RSI space vary for this hidden RSI swing excessive resistance. - H Distance:
Reveals the space of the present RSI to the hidden space. The decrease the quantity means the nearer it’s. - L legitimate:
Low legitimate that means there’s a hidden RSI Swing Low help space (the place we play bounces from). - L Vary:
Reveals the hidden RSI space vary the place the hidden RSI swing low help is. - L Distance:
Reveals the space of the present RSI to the hidden space. The decrease the quantity means the nearer it’s.
“You imply this works for locating overbought areas too?”
> Sure, that’s proper. Let me present you the way it appears like:
As you’ll be able to see on this picture. We used the identical 80% confidence standards with a pattern measurement of 5 and discovered that there’s a hidden RSI resistance space from 58-61% (very completely different from the 70% most individuals let you know!). The orange arrows + packing containers present the place the legitimate reversals happen. The pink arrow + field exhibits the 1/5 time it didn’t reverse correctly. So since there are 4 orange (legitimate) and 1 pink (invalid), that also provides us an 80% confidence standards.
With this method, you’ll be able to vastly enhance any buying and selling technique you may have by figuring out excessive likelihood reversal ranges.
So what else do I must learn about this indicator?
Effectively, it’s versatile that means you’ll be able to regulate the sensitivity of many issues. Right here’s a screenshot of the settings together with its explanations.
So right here’s a proof of the settings:
- ATR Interval, ATR Multiplier, Swing SensitivityThese 3 go hand-in-hand to outline how massive your swing low and swing highs are on the value chart. We’d like these as a result of we need to create good lovely swing lows and swing highs.Right here’s an instance of how this works:
ATR Interval = 14 (assuming present ATR worth is 10 pips)
ATR Multipler = 5 (so 10 x 5 = 50 pips)
Swing Sensitivity = 30 bars
Which means that you’ll want a swing excessive/low of at the least 50 pips inside 30 bars to be thought-about a sound swing excessive/low for the indicator.
- Swing Quantity:
That is the variety of swing highs/lows you’ll contemplate. We don’t need too many as it may get fairly messy. I often stick to five because the candy spot. Which means we’ll search for the previous 5 main swing highs and previous 5 main swing lows.
- RSI Interval (1,2,3,4,5):
These are mainly the RSI interval settings you want to take a look at. I personally discover the 13, 21, 34, 55, 89 numbers the most effective. - RSI Sensitivity:
This measures the sensitivity of the “hidden space”. In case you have a sensitivity of 5, which means it scans inside a 5% space (eg. 10% to fifteen%). The smaller this quantity, the extra correct the realm must be. I don’t suggest it being too small although, 5% appears to be the candy spot. 10% will discover massive areas and that might not be as helpful. - RSI Confidence Stage:
Bear in mind “SwingNumber” I discussed above? That is mainly the proportion of swing highs/lows that must fall inside our hidden space (as outlined by RSI Sensitivity) above. So, if our swing quantity is 5 and our RSI Confidence Stage is 80%, that implies that 80% of the latest 5 swing highs/lows must coincide precisely inside a 5% space (assuming our RSI Sensitivity is 5%). So this implies 4 out of 5 most up-to-date swing excessive/lows is the minimal requirement.